par Diplomatie et monde
L'Allemagne réarme, elle renoue le fil coupe par la défaite c'est le fait le plus important de la période. Le reste n'est que distraction.
De nombreux chercheurs, dont l'éminent historien russe Vassili Klioutchevski, attribuent la fracture civilisationnelle incontestable entre les deux plus grands peuples d'Europe à la géographie, au climat et au paysage, qui ont façonné des modes de vie différents.
Libres Paroles
Une émission de Claude Janvier.
Invité : Lucien Cerise, Docteur en philosophie, écrivain et conférencier.
Thème : Ukraine - risque d'une opération sous faux drapeau en Pologne pour accuser les Russes ?
Le bataillon Azov s'installe en Pologne. Personne n'en parle. Pourquoi ?
Et si le prochain basculement de la guerre ne se produisait pas en Ukraine...
par Neutrality Studies
L'OTAN a trouvé une nouvelle façon de tester la Russie et de mettre en œuvre sa stratégie d'escalade : menacer publiquement Kaliningrad tout en conservant une parfaite possibilité de démenti. Mais cela ne passera pas.
Stanislav Krapivnik rejoint Pascal Lottaz pour discuter de Kaliningrad, de la planification de l'OTAN et du danger d'une guerre européenne plus large.
par Jules Seyes
Les deux responsables de SOS Donbass sont maintenant détenus depuis plus de dix mois. Leur demande de mise en liberté ayant été rejetée, nous pourrons d'ici trois mois leur souhaiter un Joyeux Orwell, puisque la liberté, c'est l'esclavage.
Ou bien la vérité serait-elle le mensonge ? Arrêter les responsables de SOS Donbass pour espionnage aurait pu être un hasard malheureux.
par Alexandre Lemoine
Des pertes de milliards de dollars et jusqu'à 40% de surfaces cultivées. Voilà le résultat de la crise céréalière attendu en Ukraine. Mais les appels à l'aide sont ignorés par les dirigeants européens. Bruxelles refuse aussi bien l'argent que l'utilisation d'un corridor européen pour l'exportation des céréales ukrainiennes.
Selon le ministre ukrainien de la Politique agraire et de l'Alimentation Taras Vysotsky, si les ports locaux restent fermés, entre juin 2026 et juin 2027, l'Ukraine perdra au moins 8 milliards de dollars, soit environ 20% de ses recettes d'exportation de l'année précédente.
par Serge Savigny
Pendant un demi-siècle, le monde suivait le prix du baril de pétrole. Mais la véritable bataille de 2026 se joue autour de ce en quoi ce baril se transforme après le raffinage.
Le diesel est le carburant de l'économie réelle, physique, et cette année il est devenu l'un des instruments de puissance les plus redoutables de la politique mondiale.
Les chiffres ne racontent qu'une partie de l'histoire.
par Daniel Kersffeld
Dans un contexte difficile, Lula devra centrer la dernière étape de cette longue campagne sur une confrontation directe avec Flávio Bolsonaro qui, inévitablement, aura un impact direct et profond sur ses relations avec le gouvernement des États-Unis.
Donald Trump ne perdra pas l'occasion de faire un coup d'État électoral au Brésil seulement pour donner du pouvoir à son allié et l'amener au palais du Planalto mais aussi pour infliger une défaite humiliante à l'un des rares dirigeants du monde qui a osé le défier publiquement.
Par Arnaud Bertrand - Le 2 Octobre 2026 - Source Blog de l'auteur
Il est extrêmement rare qu'un document provenant d'un groupe de réflexion de Washington déclenche une tempête des deux côtés du Pacifique, mais c'est exactement ce qui s'est passé avec celui écrit par Jennifer Kavanagh, intitulé "A Second Island Chain Strategy for Asia", publiée par Defense Priorities le 10 septembre.
Eduardo Vasco
Why did the machines suffer a kind of breakdown, if they had been rigorously tested?
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The counting of votes in the first round of Brazil's general elections was the subject of great controversy. Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, was ahead of Lula in the official count, with 49.6%, against 42.2% for the president seeking re-election.
George Samuelson
Europe's energy crisis isn't over.
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Europe's energy crisis isn't over. Gas prices remain stubbornly high across the continent as Europeans confront a long winter.
In response to an energy crisis stemming from Europe's continued reliance on imported liquefied natural gas against the backdrop of ongoing global geopolitical volatility, Europe's leaders are pushing to diversify the bloc's energy mix. While this means that Europe is rapidly expanding its renewable energy capacity, it also marks a significant return to the world's dirtiest fossil fuel - coal.
Earlier this year, when the United States and Israel began an offensive in Iran and thereby instigated the disruption of one-fifth of the world's oil and gas trades, Europe awakened to realize that it had sleepwalked into yet another energy crisis - its third in just four years. "We swore we'd learn. We promised things would change, but here we are," a 'highly frustrated European diplomat' was recently (anonymously) quoted by the BBC.
"Instead of concentrating on much-needed long-term plans - about how to make Europe more competitive in this increasingly volatile world, [European] prime ministers and presidents are now in a panic over [energy] prices, worried about angry voters and scrambling for short-term solutions," the source continued. "Just like the crisis after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Different conflict. Same European divisions; same dilemmas over energy. We can't keep going round in these circles. Something's got to give."
Now, half a year after the outbreak of the war in Iran and the initial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Europe is still grappling with the fallout as gas prices remain brutally high. Just this month, gas prices hit their highest mark in three years, soaring above €80 ($90.98) per megawatt hour.
Prices are so high, in fact, that coal-fired power has become cheaper than gas-fired power in Europe for the first time in years. This has pushed many European nations, and especially the European Union's largest economy, Germany, back to coal. And, worryingly, experts contend that that trend will continue for years to come.
"Coal is expected to remain cheaper than gas for power generation through next year and potentially until March 2028," Reuters reported earlier this week, based on a conversation with Marta Wroniszewska, an analyst at Veyt. "Longer-dated gas prices indicate traders expect supply constraints to persist."
However, there are notable limits to coal's growth potential in Europe. Years of policy aimed at phasing down and phasing out coal have left the continent with dramatically fewer coal-fired power plants than it had previously. In 1990, the European Union derived more than a third of its electricity production from coal. By 2025, that share had fallen to just 9.2 percent, according to data from Eurostat. So while Europe's remaining coal plants will receive a windfall from the current gas prices, there is a ceiling to coal's potential rebound in the region.
Outside of Europe, however, it's a different story. Globally, coal is still the single-biggest source of power production. And while Europe is shutting down its coal-fired capacity, many emerging economies are continuing to build theirs up, with particularly strong growth from the Philippines, Indonesia, and other rapidly developing countries across Asia. Not coincidentally, this was also the region hit hardest by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
While coal is cheap, abundant, and seen as a critical tool for enabling economic development in poor countries, the continuously extending timeline of coal's reign presents trade-offs that far outweigh the benefits. Coal is the single largest driver of global warming, responsible for about 40 percent of all greenhouse gas emissions. However, it's not all bad news - coal's comeback is happening in tandem with a major global increase in clean energy resources. Increasingly, renewable energies are being adopted for their role in a more energy-secure future, and are seen as a critical buffer against the next global energy crisis.
Unlike natural gas, oil, and coal, "Wind and solar cannot be embargoed, blockaded, or shut off by a foreign power," David Frykman, General Partner at Stockholm-based venture capital group Norrsken, wrote in an op-ed for Fortune earlier this year. "Every terawatt-hour of domestic renewable generation is a terawatt-hour that no adversary can weaponize."
strategic-culture.su]
Lorenzo Maria Pacini
Se la porta che, secondo Mosca, è aperta è in realtà chiusa, lo è da questa parte - e non è stata Roma a chiuderla di propria iniziativa.
Un Valdai fuori sede
Quello che racconterò in questo articolo è meno tecnico e più personale del solito. Si tratta delle informazioni raccolte in alcune giornate di dialogo, confronto e, a quanto pare, una domanda "scandalosa" che è diventata lo scoop dei media europei, perché ho chiesto al Presidente della Federazione Russa, Vladimir Vladimirovic Putin, cosa ne sarà dell'Europa.
Lucas Leiroz
Lula has failed to meet the demands of the people and is now facing the consequences.
The first round of Brazil's presidential election ended with candidate Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead of Lula da Silva (PT), 47% to 45%. In the parliamentary elections, the PT and the left suffered overwhelming defeats across the country, indicating growing rejection of the left among ordinary Brazilians.