Alastair Crooke
Should Iran be able to maintain its choke-hold on the Hormuz, the geo-politics of Asia would be recast in a new strategic reality.
As we're now in the fourth week of war, where next?
Firstly, although Iran has been subjected to intensive bombardment, the latter's military effectiveness is far from evident. Iran's ability to strike back at U.S. and Israeli interests in Gulf States continues with increasing power; its leadership operates effectively in its deliberately-chosen opaque mode (called mosaic); and Iran persists with regular missile and drone volleys, whilst incrementally elevating the sophistication of its missile barrage.