Par Arnaud Bertrand - Le 2 Octobre 2026 - Source Blog de l'auteur
Il est extrêmement rare qu'un document provenant d'un groupe de réflexion de Washington déclenche une tempête des deux côtés du Pacifique, mais c'est exactement ce qui s'est passé avec celui écrit par Jennifer Kavanagh, intitulé "A Second Island Chain Strategy for Asia", publiée par Defense Priorities le 10 septembre.
Eduardo Vasco
Why did the machines suffer a kind of breakdown, if they had been rigorously tested?
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The counting of votes in the first round of Brazil's general elections was the subject of great controversy. Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, was ahead of Lula in the official count, with 49.6%, against 42.2% for the president seeking re-election.
George Samuelson
Europe's energy crisis isn't over.
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Europe's energy crisis isn't over. Gas prices remain stubbornly high across the continent as Europeans confront a long winter.
In response to an energy crisis stemming from Europe's continued reliance on imported liquefied natural gas against the backdrop of ongoing global geopolitical volatility, Europe's leaders are pushing to diversify the bloc's energy mix. While this means that Europe is rapidly expanding its renewable energy capacity, it also marks a significant return to the world's dirtiest fossil fuel - coal.
Earlier this year, when the United States and Israel began an offensive in Iran and thereby instigated the disruption of one-fifth of the world's oil and gas trades, Europe awakened to realize that it had sleepwalked into yet another energy crisis - its third in just four years. "We swore we'd learn. We promised things would change, but here we are," a 'highly frustrated European diplomat' was recently (anonymously) quoted by the BBC.
"Instead of concentrating on much-needed long-term plans - about how to make Europe more competitive in this increasingly volatile world, [European] prime ministers and presidents are now in a panic over [energy] prices, worried about angry voters and scrambling for short-term solutions," the source continued. "Just like the crisis after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Different conflict. Same European divisions; same dilemmas over energy. We can't keep going round in these circles. Something's got to give."
Now, half a year after the outbreak of the war in Iran and the initial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Europe is still grappling with the fallout as gas prices remain brutally high. Just this month, gas prices hit their highest mark in three years, soaring above €80 ($90.98) per megawatt hour.
Prices are so high, in fact, that coal-fired power has become cheaper than gas-fired power in Europe for the first time in years. This has pushed many European nations, and especially the European Union's largest economy, Germany, back to coal. And, worryingly, experts contend that that trend will continue for years to come.
"Coal is expected to remain cheaper than gas for power generation through next year and potentially until March 2028," Reuters reported earlier this week, based on a conversation with Marta Wroniszewska, an analyst at Veyt. "Longer-dated gas prices indicate traders expect supply constraints to persist."
However, there are notable limits to coal's growth potential in Europe. Years of policy aimed at phasing down and phasing out coal have left the continent with dramatically fewer coal-fired power plants than it had previously. In 1990, the European Union derived more than a third of its electricity production from coal. By 2025, that share had fallen to just 9.2 percent, according to data from Eurostat. So while Europe's remaining coal plants will receive a windfall from the current gas prices, there is a ceiling to coal's potential rebound in the region.
Outside of Europe, however, it's a different story. Globally, coal is still the single-biggest source of power production. And while Europe is shutting down its coal-fired capacity, many emerging economies are continuing to build theirs up, with particularly strong growth from the Philippines, Indonesia, and other rapidly developing countries across Asia. Not coincidentally, this was also the region hit hardest by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
While coal is cheap, abundant, and seen as a critical tool for enabling economic development in poor countries, the continuously extending timeline of coal's reign presents trade-offs that far outweigh the benefits. Coal is the single largest driver of global warming, responsible for about 40 percent of all greenhouse gas emissions. However, it's not all bad news - coal's comeback is happening in tandem with a major global increase in clean energy resources. Increasingly, renewable energies are being adopted for their role in a more energy-secure future, and are seen as a critical buffer against the next global energy crisis.
Unlike natural gas, oil, and coal, "Wind and solar cannot be embargoed, blockaded, or shut off by a foreign power," David Frykman, General Partner at Stockholm-based venture capital group Norrsken, wrote in an op-ed for Fortune earlier this year. "Every terawatt-hour of domestic renewable generation is a terawatt-hour that no adversary can weaponize."
strategic-culture.su]
Lorenzo Maria Pacini
Se la porta che, secondo Mosca, è aperta è in realtà chiusa, lo è da questa parte - e non è stata Roma a chiuderla di propria iniziativa.
Un Valdai fuori sede
Quello che racconterò in questo articolo è meno tecnico e più personale del solito. Si tratta delle informazioni raccolte in alcune giornate di dialogo, confronto e, a quanto pare, una domanda "scandalosa" che è diventata lo scoop dei media europei, perché ho chiesto al Presidente della Federazione Russa, Vladimir Vladimirovic Putin, cosa ne sarà dell'Europa.
Lucas Leiroz
Lula has failed to meet the demands of the people and is now facing the consequences.
The first round of Brazil's presidential election ended with candidate Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) ahead of Lula da Silva (PT), 47% to 45%. In the parliamentary elections, the PT and the left suffered overwhelming defeats across the country, indicating growing rejection of the left among ordinary Brazilians.
Alexandr Svaranc,
Les relations entre Israël et la Turquie demeurent extrêmement tendues. Après l'Iran, la Turquie sunnite devient, de fait, le principal adversaire géopolitique de l'État hébreu au Moyen-Orient.
Les frappes en Syrie comme signal à Ankara
Dans la nuit du 18 août, l'armée de l'air israélienne a mené une opération audacieuse en Syrie, effectuant huit frappes ciblées sur la base aérienne d'Abu al-Duhur, dans la province d'Idlib.
Ricardo Martins,
Les difficultés de l'UE à négocier avec la Chine vont au-delà des tarifs douaniers et des quotas - les différences économiques structurelles, la fragmentation politique en Europe et les tensions géopolitiques plus larges révèlent une incompréhension fondamentale de la Chine à laquelle Bruxelles a affaire et du monde dans lequel elle doit rivaliser.
journal-neo.su
Le décalage stratégique : l'angle mort de l'Europe sur la Chine
par Serge Van Cutsem
On nous avait promis que le progrès technique allait unir l'humanité. Internet, le téléphone portable, puis l'intelligence artificielle devaient faire de la Terre un seul village. Pourtant, pendant que nos experts se demandent ce qu'on va "faire des humains" rendus inutiles par les machines, des centaines de millions d'hommes et de femmes vivent sans électricité ni papiers, et plus de deux milliards n'ont jamais eu accès à Internet.